Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.817593 1.978401 2.149449 2.345354 2.564042 2.801234 3.078744
2026-02-01 1.542262 1.755688 1.995826 2.287574 2.634493 3.036375 3.540866
2026-02-08 1.370147 1.611182 1.893755 2.252500 2.700125 3.245964 3.970814
2026-02-15 1.251789 1.510551 1.824078 2.236672 2.772466 3.454745 4.405808
2026-02-22 1.186136 1.464430 1.811672 2.283684 2.919462 3.762345 4.992522
2026-03-01 1.107703 1.393591 1.759090 2.269596 2.978895 3.952429 5.431588
2026-03-08 1.033656 1.321713 1.697826 2.235789 3.004032 4.091722 5.805834
2026-03-15 0.954866 1.237581 1.613282 2.161532 2.962977 4.128405 6.024501
2026-03-22 0.914176 1.201850 1.591343 2.172007 3.042468 4.345602 6.541536
2026-03-29 0.886321 1.181561 1.588677 2.208586 3.161510 4.630558 7.196614
2026-04-05 0.858061 1.158623 1.580138 2.234729 3.264977 4.898057 7.850912
2026-04-12 0.829413 1.133220 1.565987 2.250482 3.351914 5.144530 8.495232
2026-04-19 0.797796 1.102457 1.543034 2.252414 3.418937 5.367754 9.133669
2026-04-26 0.755269 1.053473 1.490111 2.203630 3.398455 5.439057 9.495955
2026-05-03 0.720390 1.014080 1.449416 2.171318 3.402282 5.551758 9.950366
2026-05-10 0.692442 0.983715 1.420807 2.156421 3.434042 5.716204 10.528032
2026-05-17 0.680453 0.977002 1.428414 2.201377 3.573253 6.090776 11.593240
2026-05-24 0.656198 0.950084 1.402513 2.187928 3.606253 6.266281 12.253556
2026-05-31 0.629521 0.918173 1.366980 2.155630 3.601922 6.367867 12.761560
2026-06-07 0.596470 0.874866 1.311030 2.084665 3.520438 6.308300 12.888835
2026-06-14 0.581887 0.860394 1.301542 2.094678 3.592399 6.565998 13.805471
2026-06-21 0.572994 0.854631 1.306046 2.129636 3.714595 6.939448 15.065991
2026-06-28 0.562631 0.845986 1.305193 2.154617 3.818801 7.284843 16.314689